This is the first installment of a weekly round-up. We will go back on our weekly tweets of interest and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country.
When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements.
The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do. It is not a complete list but merely a very small sample for our followers.
From 26 November:
1. Brazil update: Reports of muggings on beaches becoming more frequent. Rio seems to be top area. Tourists targeted.
Comment: Brazil's economy is deteriorating; today constituted the 6th interest rate hike to curtail inflation. As the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Rio Summer Olympics approach, criminality - especially targeting tourists - is highly likely to escalate.
2. Taiwan update: Risk of contracting H7N9 bird flu mounting in Guangdong. (Source: http://wantchinatimes.com ).
Comment: Health hazards are both difficult to predict and to measure. A comprehensive database is required in order to capture fidelity. Nonetheless this is achievable with the proper technical input, usually medical consultants to achieve our aims.
From 27 November:
3. Thailand: opposition demonstrations spread to other provinces. We assess that demonstrations are unlikely to rise in widespread violence. Street protests are likely the main focus. Unrest affecting tourist areas cannot be discounted. 2010 bloodshed unlikely: lack of indicators.
Comment: Ongoing. Based on past patterns, 2010 violence levels unlikely. Tourist areas may witness civil unrest. Read & head local authorities recommendations to avoid harm. Better yet, always register at your nearest consulate or Embassy.
From 28 November:
4. South Sudan: NGOs should be advised that violent muggings and robbery reports are on the rise for Juba. Criminality rate likely to escalate.
Comment: NGOs and gas & oil contractors should be very cautious about the rising criminality rate that has been escalating in recent weeks. The security situation is likely to degrade with little or no warning.
As always, leave nothing to chance. Consult us prior to travel: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
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